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2024-12-14 05:26:55

The central bank's statement shows that the exchange rate will not have room for further sharp depreciation, which can dispel the market's doubts. Judging from the recent exchange rate trend, it has kept a high level and fluctuated sideways. This week's closing did not fall below 7.26, so although it temporarily returned below 7.3, in fact, the depreciation trend in the medium term has not changed substantially. There is nothing to worry about in this position. In the future, we are optimistic about gradual appreciation, but the process will be slower.A shares: The latest release of the National Development and Reform Commission! Don't wait, there will be no accidents next week.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.


This week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange took written warning and other regulatory measures against 202 abnormal securities trading behaviors, such as lifting and suppressing, false declaration, etc., focused on monitoring the delisting risk warning stocks such as *ST Zhuo Lang, conducted special inspections on 14 major events of listed companies, and reported one clue of suspected illegal cases to the CSRC.The latest voice of the central bankThe relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.


The latest voice of the central bankJudging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.

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